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Developing Brazil - Overcoming the Failure of the Washington Consensus
2009. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system. The failure of the Washington consensus or of conventional orthodoxy in making Brazil to catch up after the 1994 Real Plan stabilized high and inertial inflation. (This book is an atualized version of Macroeconomia da Estagnação)
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Burocracia pública na construção do Brasil
2008. Brazilian public bureaucracy always played a major role in the construction of the Brazilian nation and of the Brazilian state. (Draft of future book)
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Existe doença holandesa no Brasil?
2008. With Nelson Marconi. In Brazil the Dutch disease is not as serious as in oil countries, but it is sufficiently serious to cause gradual deindustrialization. Paper in edited book.
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Depois do consenso neoliberal, o retorno dos empresários industriais?
2008. With Eli Diniz. Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs associated with the state bureaucracy were dominant from 1930 to late 1980s. Now, they may be returning to power. At least they are better prepared for that. (Paper to be published)
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Burocracia pública e classes dirigentes no Brasil
2007. The Brazilian state bureaucracy was part of the ruling class in association with the industrial bourgeoisie between the 1930s and the 1980s. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Sociologia e Política (Univ.Paraná).
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O novo desenvolvimentismo e a ortodoxia convencional
2007. Paper comparing three growth strategies: old or national-developmentalism, new developmentalism, and Washingtons conventional orthodoxy - actually a form of neutralizing the catching up of medium income countries. English and Spanish versions available. (Paper: Revista São Paulo em Perspectiva)
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Brasil perdeu idéia de Nação (Site:www.itv.org.br, 24.8.07)
2007. In globalization nations compete commercially. As Brazil lost the idea of nation, and follows economic policies recommended by our competitors instead of adopting a national growth strategy, it is falling behind. (Entrevista: Instituto Teotônio Vilela)
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Getúlio Vargas: o estadista, a nação e a democracia
2007. Vargas was the statesman that led Brazils national and industrial revolution. Although an authoritarian politician, he created the conditions for consolidated democracy. (Paper: to be published in book edited by Dutra Fonseca Zahluth Bastos)
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Public bureaucracy and ruling classes in Brazil
2007. The brazilian state bureaucracy was part of the ruling class in association with the industrial bourgeoisie between the 1930s and the 1980s. Portuguese version available. paper Revista de Sociologia e Política.
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The new developmentalism and conventional orthodoxy
2006. Paper comparing three growth strategies old or national-developmentalism, new developmentalism, and Washingtons conventional orthodoxy - actually a form of neutralizing the catching up of medium income countries. An improved version available with the title “Macroeconomics of stagnation and new developmentalism“.(Paper Iberoamericana).
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El nuevo desarrollismo y la ortodoxia convencional
2007. Paper comparing three growth strategies: old or national-developmentalism, new developmentalism, and Washingtons conventional orthodoxy - actually a form of neutralizing the catching up of medium income countries. Portuguese and English versions available. (Paper: Economía Unam)
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É a competição, estúpido...
2006. A large interview on the Brazilian economy and the lack of a national growth strategy in a global environment defined by high competition among nation-states. (Interview to Laura Greenhalgh: O Estado de S.Paulo).
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Idéias para um país que precisa crescer
2006. Debate on economic growth of Brazil with Eliana Cardoso, Ricardo Carneiro e Samuel Pessoa. (O Estado de São Paulo, Aliás Debate)
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The substitution of foreign for domestic savings and its inverse: the Brazilian case
2006. The rate of substitution of foreign for domestic savings was high in Brazil in the period 1994-99, as the inverse rate was also high in the 2000-05 period. The critique of growth with foreign savings applied to Brazil. (Unpublished paper)
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Substituição da poupança interna pela externa e seu inverso: o caso do Brasil
2006. The rate of substitution of foreign for domestic savings was high in Brazil in the period 1994-99, as the inverse rate was also high in the 2000-05 period. The critique of growth with foreign savings applied to Brazil.(Paper)
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Macroeconomia da estagnação e novo desenvolvimentismo
2006 [2007]. Paper comparing three growth strategies: old or national-developmentalism, new developmentalism, and Washington's conventional orthodoxy - actually a form of neutralizing the catching up of medium income countries. Updated and improved version of "Novo desenvolvimentismo e ortodoxia convencional". (Paper in book edited by Bresser-Pereira)
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Duas razões estruturais
2006.2. Social inequality and the loss of the concept of nation are the two structural causes behind Brazil's long term quasi-stagnation. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
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Em Busca do Novo: O Brasil e o Desenvolvimento na Obra de Bresser-Pereira (coletânea)
2004. Festricht edited by Nakano, Rego and Furquim, in homage to Bresser-Pereira's 70 years. 30 authors discuss his academic work Bresser surveys his own work: "Economista ou Sociólogo do Desenvolvimento". (Book: Editora da FGV)
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La Politique Macroéconomique Brésilienne (1994-2003) et le Second Consensus de Washington
2004. The growth cum foreign savings strategy and the consequent exchange rate evaluation is the basic cause behind Cardoso administration's poor economic performance. Translation of "O Segundo Consenso de Washington e a Quase-estagnação do Brasil". (Paper: Problèmes d’Amérique Latine)*
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Método y Pasión en Celso Furtado
2004. The method that Celso Furtado utilizes is essentially historical his passion – a measured passion – is Brazil. A survey of Furtado's work. Portuguese and English versions available. (Paper: Revista de La CEPAL)*
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Reforma da gestão e avanço social em uma economia semi-estagnada
2004. Since 1980 Brazils economic growth has been frustrating, bust social and political development was real, as the 1995 Public Management Reform demonstrates. (Paper: Revista de Administração Pública)*
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The Second Washington Consensus and Latin Americas Quasi-Stagnation
2004. With Carmen Varela. Latin Americas quasi-stagnation in the 1990s can be explained principally by the growth cum foreign savings strategy. (Paper: Journal of Post Keynesian Economics)
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Desenvolvimento e Crise no Brasil (5a. edição)
2003. The patterns of economic development and the political pacts in Brazil from Vargas (1930) to Lula (2003). 5th revised edition almost doubling the size of the book. English version available. (Book: Editora 34)
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Resenha de Em Busca de Novo Modelo
2002. Review of Celso Furtados book Em Busca de Novo Modelo. (Revista de Economia Política)
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O segundo Consenso de Washington e a quase-estagnação da economia brasileira
2002. The growth cum foreign savings strategy and the consequent exchange rate evaluation is the basic cause behind Cardoso administration's poor economic performance. (Revista de Economia Politica, 23(3) July 2003).*
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Financiamento para o subdesenvolvimento: o Brasil e o segundo Consenso de Washington
2002. The growth cum foreign savings strategy and the consequent exchange rate evaluation is the basic cause behind Cardoso administrations poor economic performance. An d version: O Segundo Consenso de Washington e a Quase-Estagnação da Economia Brasileira. (Paper: BNDES 50 Years)*
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Una Estrategia de Desarrollo con Estabilidad
2001 With Yoshiaki Nakano. A critique of economic policy since 1995, showing that Central Bank s basic interest rate is absurd and can be reduced. Portuguese version available. (Paper/document: Instituciones y Desarrollo, May 2002).
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Uma estratégia de desenvolvimento com estabilidade
2001. With Yoshiaki Nakano. A critique of economic policy since 1995. A critique of the policy on the basic interest rate, which caused a major debate in Brazil. Spanish version available. (Paper/document: Revista de Economia Política, July 2002).*
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Crise Économique et Réforme de l'État au Brésil
2002. Economic and political analysis of the crisis of the state from 1980 to 1995 in Brazil. Includes a critical introduction. Portuguese and English versions available. (Book: Maison des Sciences de l'Homme)
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Incompatibilidade distributiva e desenvolvimento auto-sustentado
2002. An overview of the Brazilian economy since the 1970s. Income concentrated in the period, but only some additional reduction in wages and salaries as a consequence of a less appreciated exchange rate will permit the country to resume growth. (Paper in book edited by Ricardo Bielschowky e Ricardo Mussi, Políticas para a Retomada do Crescimento - Reflexões de Economistas Brasileiros).
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Decisões estratégicas e overlapping consensus na América Latina
2001. There are some consensus and some strategic decisions to be taken in Latin America, after the crisis of structuralism, and of orthodox reforms. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *
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After structuralism, a development alternative for Latin America
2001. There are some consensus and some strategic decisions to be taken in Latin America, after the crisis of structuralism, and of orthodox reforms. Portuguese version available.(Paper: Presented in St. Anthony's seminar, Oxford)
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Latin America’s quasi-stagnation
2001. Incompetence and subordination to the North characterized Latin American economic policies since the early 1980s'. Portuguese version available with the original title of the paper, "Incompetência e confidence building por trás de 30 anos de quase-estagnação da América Latina". (Paper in book edited by Paul Davidson).
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Incompetência e confidence building por trás de 20 anos de quase estagnação da América Latina
2001. Incompetence and subordination to the North characterized Latin American economic policies since the early 1980s'. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *
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Método e Paixão em Celso Furtado
2001. The method that Celso Furtado utilizes is essentially historical his passion – a measured passion – is for Brazil. A survey of Furtado's work. English and Spanish versions available.(Paper in book edited by Bresser-Pereira and Rego) *
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Do estado patrimonial ao gerencial
2001. An overview of the rise of the state and of public administration in Brazil since late nineteenth century, ending with the 1995/98 Public Management Reform. (Paper in edited book)
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Method and Passion in Celso Furtado
2001. The method that Celso Furtado utilizes is essentially historical his passion – a measured passion – is for Brazil. A survey of Furtado's work.Portuguese and Spanish versions available. (Paper to be published in English)
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Crise Econômica e Reforma do Estado no Brasil
1996. The crisis of the state interpretation. Economic and political analysis of the crisis starting in 1980 in Latin America. English and French versions availalble. (Book: Editora 34)
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Economic Crisis and State Reform in Brazil
1996. The 'crisis of the state interpretation'. Economic and political analysis of the crisis starting in 1980 in Latin America. Portuguese and French versions available. (Book: Lynne Rienner Publishers)
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Inserção Internacional e Apartheid Social
1994. Brazil achieved price stability. Now, in order to grow, it has to define a policy of competitive ion in the interantional setting, while, domestically, promotes income distribution. (Note: Folha de S.Paulo)
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Une Nouvelle Interpretation de lAmerique Latine
1994. Since 1980 Latin American faced a debt crisis and a crisis of the state, which was also a crisis of the developmentalist interpretation. Now, two competing interpretations are present: the neoliberal Washington Consensus and the fiscal crisis of the state approach. Available in English and Portuguese. (Paper: Cahiers des Amériques Latines)*
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Empresários, suas origens e as interpretações do Brasil
1993. Brazilian entrepreneurs originate in middle class immigrants. Yet, after the 1964 military coup Caio Prado Jr. developed an interpretation of Brazil based in the false assumption that industrialists originated in coffee planters families. (Paper: Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais)
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Economic reforms and economic growth: efficiency and politics in Latin America
1992. Stabilization and other market-oriented economic reforms face a double challenge in new democracies: they have to be economically effective and politically feasible. Since 1980 Latin America faced a debt crisis and a crisis of the state. Now, two competing interpretations are present the neo-liberal Washington Consensus and the fiscal crisis of the state approach. The later anticipates the 2003 "new developmentalism". (Paper: Chapter 1 of Economic Reforms in New Democracies).
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Economic reforms in new democracies: a social-democratic approach
1993. With José María Maravall and Adam Przeworski. The neoliberal economic reforms enacted by Latin Americas and Eastern Europes new democracies have proven inefficient and at times even ineffective. This derives both from a lack of political support and from the dogmatic orthodoxy adopted. This paper corresponds to the Introduction to the book Economic Reforms in New Democracies, 1993. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book by Bresser-Pereira, Maravall Przeworski).
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A modernização interrompida
1993. A socio-economic and a political-economic vicious circle hinds Brazils development. The weak points which should be attacked are education and inertial inflation. (Note in Vellosos edited book [10 p])*
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Um mestre da economia brasileira: Ignácio Rangel
1992. With José Marcio Rego. Ignácio Rangel is an highly orginal anaylist of the Brazilian macroeconomy and of its development. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
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A crise da América Latina: Consenso de Washington ou crise fiscal?
1991. An early critique of the Washington consensus. A systematic analysis of the Latin American crisis as a foreign debt and a fiscal crisis of the state crisis. English, French, and Spanish versions available. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico 21(1), abril 1991: 3-23.
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La crisis de América Latina. ¿Consenso de Washington o crisis fiscal?
1991. An early critique of the Washington consensus. A systematic analysis of the Latin American crisis as a foreign debt and a fiscal crisis of the state crisis. Portuguese, English, and French versions available. (Paper: Pensamiento Iberamericano)
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La crise de la Amérique Latine: Consensus de Washington ou crise budgétaire?
1991. An early critique of the Washington consensus. A systematic analysis of the Latin American crisis as a foreign debt and a fiscal crisis of the state crisis. Portuguese, English and Spanish versions available. (Paper: Problèmes dAmerique Latine).
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Economic crisis in Latin America: Washington consensus or fical crisis approach?
1991. An early critique of the Washington consensus. A systematic analysis of the Latin American crisis as a foreign debt and a fiscal crisis of the state crisis. Portuguese, French, and Spanish versions available.
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Economic ideologies and the consolidation of democracy in Brazil
1989. The transition to democracy was an outcome of successful political popular-business pact, but mistaken ideoloiges originated in old nationalism and left populism, and on conservative clientelism, opportunism, social conservatism, monetarism, crude liberalism, and subordinated internationalism represent an obstacle to democratic consolidation and growth in Brazil. Portuguese version available.
(Paper in book edited by Diane Ethier)
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A crise gerou um consenso retórico e, às vezes, perverso
1989. The economic crisis that Brazil faces originated a consensus expressed in Jo Soares's eight items list. Yet, such consensus is rhetoric since it does not involve action to solve the problems. (Note: Economia em Perspectiva)
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The perverse macroeconomics of debt, deficit and inflation in Brazil
1989. There is a perverse logic in the Brazilian macroeconomic system involving foreign debt, fiscal deficit and inertial inflation. Portuguese version available.(Paper in book edited by Fukuchi and Kagami).
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A mudança do papel do Estado na economia brasileira
1988. Between 1930 and 1980 the state was an instrument of growth, but since then, it became an obstacle. (Note in edited book)
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Changing patterns of financing investment in Brazil
1987. Investment used to be financed by the state. Yet, given the fiscal crisis of the state, the private sector is supposed to play a more active role. First paper where I discuss the fiscal crisis of the state. Portuguese version available(Paper)
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Estado regulador y pacto democrático en América Latina
1985 {1986}. The Entrepreneurial or Producer State was essential to Latin Americas primitive accumulation and industrialization. Now, in the new stage that the more advanced Latin American countries are entering, it is time for the the Regulatory and the Social State. Yet, this transition is taking place together with the transition to democracy, a major debt crisis, and a neo-liberal ideological ofensive. Portuguese version available. (Paper: in book edited by Atilio Boron)*
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Estado regulador e pacto democrático na América Latina
1985. The transition from the Entrepreneurial to the Regulatory State in Latin America is taking place in the middle of a financial (debt) crisis, the advancement of neo-liberal ideology, and the transition to democracy, after the state completed its role of promoting primitive accumulation. Spanish version available. (Paper in book edited by Atilio Boron Portuguese version just published here)
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Development and Crisis in Brazil
1984. Economic development, political pacts, and crises in Brazil from 1930 to the early 1980s. English translation of the Brazilian fourth edition of Portuguese edition available. (Book: Westview Press)
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Estado e Subdesenvolvimento Industrializado
1977. The authoritarian, income concentrating, and technobureaucratic-capitalist economic and political model of growth during the miltary regime. (Book: Editora Brasiliense)
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A economia do subdesenvolvimento industrializado
1975. The basic characteristics of growth model that prevailed during the military regime: the technobureaucratic-capitalist model of industrialized underdevelopment. In macroeconomic terms it was based on the supply side on the production of luxury goods, on the demand side, on concentration of income from the middle-class upwards. (Estudos Cebrap)
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