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Macroeconomia estruturalista do desenvolvimento e novo desenvolvimentismo
2010. With Paulo Gala. A summary of the structuralist development macroeconomics: the theory that is behind new developmentalism, the national development strategy required for catching up. (Paper to be published).).
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Globalización y Competencia
2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Siglo XXI).
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Globalization and Competition
2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Cambridge University Press).
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Globalização e Competição
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Elsevier).
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Mondialisation et compétition
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Éditions La Découverte)
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From old to new developmentalism in Latin America
2009. New developmentalism is an alternative strategy to conventional orthodoxy and to old national developmentalism. It argues for the neutralization of the tendency of the exchange rate to appreciate and for fiscal responsibility.(Paper)
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Pequena história do mundo (Folha, 6.7.09)
2009. Quando, no início do século XIX, os países da América Latina alcançaram a independência, foi pela metade. Já quando a China e a Índia se tornaram independentes após a Segunda Guerra Mundial, foi para valer. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
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Brief story of the world (Folha, 6.7.09)
2009. When Latin American countries turned independents in the early 20th century, with English help. it was half independence. Not so with China and India. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
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The tendency to the over-appreciation of the exchange rate.
2008. In developing countries there is the tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. If countries do not neutralize it, they will experiment slow growth, and catching up will not happen. (Chapter 4 of book to be published, Globalization and Competition). Spanish version and Portuguese version available.
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Desenvolvimento econômico e revolução capitalista
2008. Economic development as well as nations, the modern state, and the nation-state are outcomes of the Capitalist Revolution - this tectonic structural change formed by three sub-revolutions: the Commercial, the National and the Industrial revolutions.(Paper)
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Doença holandesa e sua neutralização: uma abordagem ricardiana
2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current equilibrium" that is inconsistent with economic growth, and the"industrial equilibrium" that will be achieved if the country is able to neutralize the disease. (Paper in edited book) English version published in Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
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La enfermedad holandesa y su neutralización
2008. The Dutch disease or natural resources curse is a major market failure to the extent that appreciates the exchange rate and makes not profitable industries using technology in the state of the art. English version available.
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The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach
2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current equilibrium" that is inconsistent with economic growth, and the"industrial equilibrium" that will be achieved if the country is able to neutralize the disease. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
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A quem serve a globalização (Folha, 28.7.08)
2008. Globalization is a major opportunity for ctching-up. Yet, Latin American countries are loosing this opportunity as they lack a national development stragegy.(Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
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Foreign savings, insufficiency of demand, and low growth
2008. With Paulo Gala. An overvalued currency is a central cause of insufficiency of demand. The growth with foreign savings policy appreciates local currencies, increases domestic consumption, and causes domestic saving to be replaced by foreign savings. (Paper Journal of Post Keynesian Economics).
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Poupança externa, insuficiência de demanda e baixo crescimento
2007. With Paulo Gala In João Sicsú e Carlos Vidotto, orgs. (2008) Economia do Desenvolvimento. Teoria e Políticas Keynesianas. Rio de Janeiro: Campus: 79-96.
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Desenvolvimento, crescimento e salários
2008. First, economic development defined and distinction from economic growth discussed. Second, since development or growth involve wage increase, the paper shows that in reach countries it increased in proportion to productivity betwee te 1850s and 1970s, but since then a global unlimited supply of labor (that domestically characterizes developing countries) is pressin down wages. (Paper to be published comments welcomed)
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Globalization, nation-state and catching up
2008. In globalization, although nation-states are more interdependent, they are also more strategic. A econometric study confirms that. (Paper published in the Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
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Nacionalismo no centro e na periferia do capitalismo
2008. Nationalism is a major ideology of capitalism together with liberalism, socialism, efficientism and ambientalism. It is the ideology of the nation and of economic development. When radical, or ethnic, it is dreadful. (Paper: Revista Estudos Avançados (- da USP))
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The key institution to economic growth
2008. Economic growth is the outcome of a national strategy of development. The characteristics and main tensions involved in these national strategies discussed. Improved English version of a paper previously published in Portuguese.
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Por qué el ahorro externo no promueve el crecimiento?
2008. With Paulo Gala. A formalization of the critique of the strategy of growth with foreign savings: the consequent exchange rate appreciation increases artificially wages and causes the substitution of domestic with foreign savings. Portuguese and English versions available. (Paper: Investigación Económica).
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O Conceito Histórico do Desenvolvimento Econômico
2006. Economic development defined using a historical method instead of a normative, or a hypothetic-deductive one. (Texto para Discussão 157 EESP/FGV)
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De la Cepal y del Iseb a la teoría de la dependencia
2006. A critique of the two dependency theories (associated and super-exploration) which intended to be an alternative to ISEBs and ECLACs view of Latin American development. Only a third version - national-dependent theory - is consistent with the nation building and growth. Portuguese and English versions available.(Paper)
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Chutando a Escada
2004. Policies recommended by Washington are rather a reaction to the threat represented by the new industrial countries than a genuine contribution to their economic growth. Survey of the book of Ha-Joon Chang. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
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Empresas multinacionais e interesses de classe
1978. Multinational entreprises involve a new form of dependency, requiring carefull scrutiny. Brazil does not need so much of capital as it is said. The Brazilian bourgeoisie is associated to multinationals, but the state's technobureaucracy is not, and may be a source of national autonomy. (Paper: Encontros com a Civilização Brasileira)*
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Resenha de Criatividade e Dependência na Civilização Industrial, de Celso Furtado
1978. Industrial civilization involved two creative revolution: the capitalist and the scientific revolution. But it threatens freedom. (Review of Celso Furtados book "Criatividade e Dependência na Civilização Industrial, in Revista de Economia Política)
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Uma introdução aos modelos neoclássicos de crescimento
1974. The Solow-Meade model is the neoclassical alternative to the growth model the Keynesian, Harrod-Domar model. It is consistent with an economy permanently in market-equilibrium that the previous model rejected. (Short note)
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Origens étnicas dos dirigentes das empresas paulistas comparada com a dos empresários
1972. A comparison of the ethnic origins of Paulista business executives (1964 survey) with the origin of Paulista entrepreneurs (1962). (chapter of book)
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Desenvolvimento econômico e o empresário
1962. In contemporary capitalism Schumpeterian entrepreneurs remain significant, but in the large business enterprises innovation is the outcome of senior executives colectively involved in entrepreneurial activity. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
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