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Globalização e Competição
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Elsevier).
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Mondialisation et compétition
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Éditions La Découverte)
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Developing Brazil - Overcoming the Failure of the Washington Consensus
2009. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system. The failure of the Washington consensus or of conventional orthodoxy in making Brazil to catch up after the 1994 Real Plan stabilized high and inertial inflation. (This book is an atualized version of Macroeconomia da Estagnação)
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Empresariado industrial, democracia e poder político
2009. With Eli Diniz. Brazilian industrialist ceased to be part of the dominant political coalition in the late 1980s in the 2000s, as new developmentalism is being discussed, there are signals that they are comming back. (Paper in Novos Estudos Cebrap).
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From the national-bourgeois to the associated dependency interpretation of Latin America
2009. Over-exploitation as well as associated dependency interpretations denied the possibity of national bourgeoisies in the region and contributed to weakening Latin American nations. Only a third version of dependency - the national-dependent interpretation - escaped this fate. French version available. (Paper to be published in Latin American Perspectives).
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Amérique Latine: de la interprétation nationaliste à la interprétation par la dépendance
2009. Over-exploitation as well as associated dependency interpretations denied the possibity of national bourgeoisies in the region and contributed to weakening Latin American nations. Only a third version of dependency - the national-dependent interpretation - escaped this fate. English version available. (Paper: Revue Tiers Monde).
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20 anos da Constituição (Folha, 6.10.08)
2008. The 1988 Brazilian Constitution was the outcome of a democratic and popular political pact. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
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Burocracia pública na construção do Brasil
2008. Brazilian public bureaucracy always played a major role in the construction of the Brazilian nation and of the Brazilian state. (Draft of future book)
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Depois do consenso neoliberal, o retorno dos empresários industriais?
2008. With Eli Diniz. Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs associated with the state bureaucracy were dominant from 1930 to late 1980s. Now, they may be returning to power. At least they are better prepared for that. (Paper to be published)
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Os ciclos da sociedade e do Estado
2007. Brazilian society underwent two cycles in the twentieth century (Nação e Desenvolvimento and Democracia e Justiça), followed, with a gap, by the respective political coalition at state level. (Section of the book Macroeconomia da Estagnação)
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Macroeconomia da Estagnação:
Crítica da Ortodoxia Convencional no Brasil pós-1994
2007. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system. The failure of the Washington consensus or of conventional orthodoxy in making Brazil to catch up after the 1994 Real Plan stabilized high and inertial inflation. (Book: Editora 34)
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Desenvolvimento e Crise no Brasil (5a. edição)
2003. The patterns of economic development and the political pacts in Brazil from Vargas (1930) to Lula (2003). 5th revised edition almost doubling the size of the book. English version available. (Book: Editora 34)
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A modernização incompleta e pactos políticos
1993. Given its extreme social heterogeneity and the 'contradictory citizenship', there is not a social contract in Brazil. In the recent past, informal growth oriented political pacts replaced a social contracts. The solution for the present crisis depends on the definition of a not growth oriented political pact. French and English versions available.(Paper in book edited by Sola e Paulani).
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Incomplete modernization and political pacts in Brazil
1993. Given social heterogeneity and 'contradictory citizenship', there is not a basic social contract in Brazil, nor an informal growth oriented political pact (that may act as a substitute for a social contract). Available in French and Portuguese. (English version published only in this site).
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Os pactos políticos possíveis depois da redemocratização
1985. With the transiction to democracy and the election of Tancredo Neves the probability of a populist political pact is small. The alternatives after democratization are a conservative pact based on the great bourgeoisie, or a progressive one based on the middle classes. English version available. (Paper in the book Pactos Políticos)
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O Colapso de uma Aliança de Classes
1978. Since the authoritarian "1977 April package", the bourgeoisie broke its alliance with the military. It did not fear anymore communism, and preferred democracy. Thus, the book predicts that the transition to democracy is under way. (Book: Editora Brasiliense)
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O Estado na economia brasileira
1977. In late 1974, the debate on the statization signals the beginning of the transition to democracy in Brazil. The bourgeoisie is the accuser, the state s technobureaucracy, the defendant. (Paper:Ensaios de Opinião)
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Pactos Políticos: do Populismo à Redemocratização
1985. Collected papers on political pacts and the 1987-85 Brazilian transition to democracy. Complements the analysis originally made in O Colapso de uma Aliança de Classes. (Book: Editora Brasiliense)
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