The Political Construction of Brazil

2017. An encompassing analysis of Brazil’s society, economy and politics since the Independence. A national-dependent interpretation. Three historical cycles of the relation state-society: State and Territorial Integration Cycle (1822-1929), Nation and Development Cycle (1930-1977) and Democracy and Social Justice Cycle (1977-2010). Crisis since then. (Book: Lynne Rienner Publishers)

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Macroeconomia Desenvolvimentista

2016. With José Luis Oreiro e Nelson Marconi. Our more complete analysis of Developmental Macroeconomics – the central economic theory within New Developmentalism. (book)

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Papers


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Documentos 1 a 14 de 14



O caráter cíclico da intervenção estatal

1989. State intervention has a cyclical character now the neo-liberal ideological wave is causing a reduction of the state, and distortions are being corrected, but sooner or later the movement will be reversed confirming the cycle. Improved English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)



Economic reforms and cycles of state intervention

1989 [1993]. State intervention has a cyclical character now the neo-liberal ideological wave is causing a reduction of the state, and distortions are being corrected, but sooner or later the movement will be reversed confirming the cycle. Portuguese version available. (Paper in World Development).



Economic ideologies and the consolidation of democracy in Brazil

1989. The transition to democracy was an outcome of successful political popular-business pact, but mistaken ideoloiges originated in old nationalism and left populism, and on conservative clientelism, opportunism, social conservatism, monetarism, crude liberalism, and subordinated internationalism represent an obstacle to democratic consolidation and growth in Brazil. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book edited by Diane Ethier)



Ideologias econômicas e democracia no Brasil

1989. The transition to democracy was an outcome of successful political popular-business pact, but mistaken ideologies originated in old left populism, and on conservative clientelism (pork barrel), opportunism, social conservatism, monetarism, crude liberalism, and subordinated internationalism represent an obstacle to democratic consolidation and growth in Brazil. (Paper: Estudos Avançados). English version available.



A teoria da inflação inercial reexaminada

1989. While monetarists emphasize expectation, the strucuturalist theory of inertial inflation privileges distributive conflict. When prices are being increased in a staggered or indexed way, economic agents cannot change their expectatives: they have to increase prices just to keep their share in income. PUC's Rio de Janeiro group, that participate in the formulation of the theory, are falling in a monetarist trap when they privilege expectations instead of distributive conflict. (Introductory paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)



A aceleração da inflação inercial

1989. Inertial inflation is accelerating in Brazil and threatening to turn into hyperinflation. An explanation of why inertial inflation is rigid is is to be reduced, but tends to increase as distributive conflict increases. (Paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)



A debtor's approach to the debt crisis

1989. The Brazilian crisis in the 1980s as a debt and a fiscal crisis. A summary of the negotiations. The solution of the debt crisis requires that creditors accept the seccuritization of the debt with a discount. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book edited by Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert).



The perverse macroeconomics of debt, deficit and inflation in Brazil

1989. There is a perverse logic in the Brazilian macroeconomic system involving foreign debt, fiscal deficit and inertial inflation. Portuguese version available.(Paper in book edited by Fukuchi and Kagami).



Os dois congelamentos de preços no Brasil: Plano Cruzado e Plano Bresser

1988. A comparisson between the Cruzado Plan (1986) and the Bresser Plan (1987. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política).



Brazil's inflation and the Cruzado Plan, 1985-1988

1988. A comparison between the Cruzado Plan (1986) and the Bresser Plan (1987). Portuguese version available.(Paper in Pamela Falk's edited book, 1990)



The debt problem: postpone it or solve it?

1988. Intervention on the U.S. Congressional Summit held in Vienna, September 4, 1988. Portuguese version available.



Da crise fiscal à redução da dívida

1988. The country will only be able to resume growth if it combines fiscal adjustment with a substantial reduction of the the foreign debt, which should be unilateral, given the lack of dispostion of creditor to negotiate the securitization that I previously proposed. Versão inglesa ligeiramente reduzida em Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert, org., Solving the Global Debt Crisis, New York: Harper & Row, 1989, com o título "A Debtor's Approach to the Debt Crisis" . (Paper my edited book Dívida Externa: Crise e Soluções)



Os limites da política econômica

1988. Economic policy should follow the rationality principle, but ideological constraints in the right and the left, and the limitations of economic theory make such rationality problematic. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)



De volta ao capital mercantil

1988. A critique of Caio Prado Jr.'s application of the concept of mercantilist capitalism to Brazil after 1930; and also a critique of mercantilist (patrimonial) practices in the Sarney administration. (Paper in book edited by Maria Angela D'Incao)




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