The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach 2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current" one that balances the current account and the "industrial" equilibrium exchange rate that makes viable other tradable industries using technology in the state of the art besides the ones originating the disease. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
Fé, política e o retrocesso conservador 2008. The 1968 Student Revolution prepresent the end not the begning of social change. After, the world experienced a conservative counter-revolution. (Article: O Estado de S.Paulo).
Depois das revoluções utópicas 2006. After the 1960s Student Revolution and Latin America Catholic Church Revolution follows a conservative and cynical neo-liberal counter-revolution. (Preface to As Revoluções Utópicas dos anos 1960)
The two methods and the hard core of economics
2008. Neoclassical economists use the hipothetical deductive method, but an empirical-deductive method, particularly the new historical facts approach, is a a more advisable aternative. (Paper written in 2003 and revised in 2005 - to be published)
The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach 2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current" one that balances the current account and the "industrial" equilibrium exchange rate that makes viable other tradable industries using technology in the state of the art besides the ones originating the disease. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
Por qué el ahorro externo no promueve el crecimiento? 2008. With Paulo Gala. A formalization of the critique of the strategy of growth with foreign savings: the consequent exchange rate appreciation increases artificially wages and causes the substitution of domestic with foreign savings. Portuguese and English versions available. (Paper: Investigación Económica).
Depois do consenso neoliberal, o retorno dos empresários industriais? 2008. With Eli Diniz. Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs associated with the state bureaucracy were dominant from 1930 to late 1980s. Now, they may be returning to power. At least they are better prepared for that. (Paper to be published)
The two methods and the hard core of economics 2008. Neoclassical economists use the hipothetical deductive method, but an empirical-deductive method, particularly the new historical facts approach, is a a more advisable aternative. (Paper written in 2003 and revised in 2005 - to be published)
Fé, política e o retrocesso conservador 2008. The 1968 Student Revolution prepresent the end not the begning of social change. After, the world experienced a conservative counter-revolution. (Article: O Estado de S.Paulo).
Governar países pobres 2008. The new nationalist leaders in Latin America face major obstacles. It is more difficult to govern poor than middle income countries. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Fim da onda neoliberal 2008. The failure of neo-liberal reforms in causing growth, the Irak war, and now the banking crisis mark the decline of the United States as hegemon and the end of the neo-liberal ideological wave. (Artiicle: Folha de S.Paulo)
Panelaço Equivocado 2008. The tax on exports in Argentina to neutralize the Dutch disease is not really paid by farmers because if it was eliminated the exchange rate would fall down and farmers would be in worse situation. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Lula e a dialética 2008. It seems that Lula is understanding that the present exchange rate represents a real danger for the country. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
Medidas cambiais não vão resolver grande coisa 2008. Only the control of capital inflows will make the exchange rate again competitive. (Interview to Luciana Xavier, O Estado de S.Paulo)
Crescimento e desindustrialização 2008. The manufacturing industry is growing while it is prematurely desindustrializing due to moderate but not neutralized Dutch disease. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Fé, política e o retrocesso conservador 2008. The 1968 Student Revolution prepresent the end not the begning of social change. After, the world experienced a conservative counter-revolution. (Article: O Estado de S.Paulo).
Governar países pobres 2008. The new nationalist leaders in Latin America face major obstacles. It is more difficult to govern poor than middle income countries. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Reforma gerencial e o Sistema Único de Saúde 2008. The 1995 Public Management Reform contributed to make the SUS (the universal health care system) more efficient and politically more legitimate. (Conference to be published in edited book)
O tigre e a democracia: o contrato social histórico 2008. The real state of nature is capitalism, a unjust and corrupt, but dynamic and strong like a tiger. The historical social contract is the democratic state that modern societies created do trim the tiger's claws but conserve its strength and dynamism.(Note: available only in this site)
Democracia, estado social e reforma gerencial 2008. Being much bigger than the Liberal State, the Democratic Social State required public management reform. On the other hand, the managerial reform legitimized the Social State. (Note to be published)
Metodologia científica 2008, 1st semester. Graduate course in methodology, with Ramón Fernandez and José Marcio Rego at EESP/FGV. (Syllabus)
Nation et développement en Amérique Latine 2008. Graduate course on nation and development in Latin America, at the École d Hautes Études en Science Sociales: Paris, 30 January - 20 February.
Metodologia econômica e das ciências sociais 2007, 1st semester. Graduate course in methodology of economics, with Ramón García Fernández and José Marcio Rego, at EESP/FGV. (Syllabus)
The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach 2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current" one that balances the current account and the "industrial" equilibrium exchange rate that makes viable other tradable industries using technology in the state of the art besides the ones originating the disease. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
The two methods and the hard core of economics 2008. Neoclassical economists use the hipothetical deductive method, but an empirical-deductive method, particularly the new historical facts approach, is a a more advisable aternative. (Paper written in 2003 and revised in 2005 - to be published)
National development strategy - The key institution 2008. Economic growth is the outcome of a national strategy of development. The characteristics and main tensions involved in these national strategies discussed. Improved English version of a paper previously published in Portuguese.
Le 'non' et le projet de l'Europe 2005.6. The 'no' was as much a reaction of the French and the Dutch to excessive enlargement of Europe as a victory of Britain and US that support such enlargement to make EU weaker. (Published just here)
Ganho ao invés de confisco 2007. Given the Dutch disease, I am not proposing confiscation but a marginal tax on exports that will not hurt but will stabilize commodities' production and profitability. (Two articles by Celso Ming and my letter to him)
Responsabilização na Administração Pública (coletânea) 2000 [2006]). With Nuria Cunill Grau. Book organized by Clad's Scientific Council according to my classification of bureaucratic and managerial accountability systems. Translation from the Spanish edition, 2000. (Edited book with Nuria Cunil Grau).
As Revoluções Utópicas dos Anos 60 2006. Two essays on the 1960s' utopic revolutions: the 1968 student revolution, and the poltical revolution of the Catholic Church, particularly in Latin America. Introduction to the third edition on 'the counter-revolution of our time'. (Book: Editora 34; 3rd. edition of 1972 book)
Política y Gestión Pública (coletânea) 2004. With Cunill Grau, Garnier, Oszlak and Przeworski. The relations between politics and public management. (Book by the members of CLAD's Scientific Council)
Desenvolvimento e Crise no Brasil (5a. edição) 2003. The patterns of economic development and the political pacts in Brazil from Vargas (1930) to Lula (2003). 5th revised edition almost doubling the size of the book. English version available. (Book: Editora 34)
